, to see if you have full access to this publication.
Book Titles No access

Die Prospect Theory und der israelisch-iranische Nuklearkonflikt

Wie wahrscheinlich ist ein Präventivkrieg?
Authors:
Publisher:
 2022

Keywords



Bibliographic data

Copyright year
2022
ISBN-Print
978-3-8288-4815-3
ISBN-Online
978-3-8288-7928-7
Publisher
Tectum, Baden-Baden
Series
Wissenschaftl.Beitr.a.d.Tectum Verlag: Politikwissenschaft
Volume
101
Language
German
Pages
108
Product type
Book Titles

Table of contents

ChapterPages
  1. Titelei/Inhaltsverzeichnis No access Pages I - XIV
  2. 1 Einleitung No access Pages 1 - 6
  3. 2 Spannungsfelder und thematische Relevanz No access Pages 7 - 18
    1. 3.1 Waltz’ Stabilitätspostulat No access
    2. 3.2 Unwahrscheinlicher Präventivkrieg? No access
    3. 3.3 Sagans Instabilitätspostulat No access
    4. 3.4 Wahrscheinlicher Präventivkrieg? No access
    5. 3.5 Der Iran in der Debatte No access
    1. 4.1 Die rationale Wahl der Erwartungsnutzentheorie No access
    2. 4.2 Die psychologischen Effekte der Prospect Theory No access
      1. 4.3.1 Vorteile und Möglichkeiten No access
      2. 4.3.2 Kritik und Limitierungen No access
    3. 4.4 Zwischenfazit No access
      1. 5.1.1 Genese, Entwicklung und aktueller Stand des Atomprogramms No access
      2. 5.1.2 Irans ballistische Raketen als Trägersysteme für Nuklearwaffen? No access
    1. 5.2 Israels nationale Sicherheitsstrategie No access
  4. 6 „Better now than later“ – Ein Präventivkrieg als Ausweg? No access Pages 71 - 84
  5. 7 Ist das Glas halb leer? Implikationen, Ergebnisse, Perspektiven No access Pages 85 - 90
  6. 8 Abkürzungen No access Pages 91 - 92
  7. 9 Verzeichnis der Quellen und Literatur No access Pages 93 - 104
  8. 10 Anhang No access Pages 105 - 108

Bibliography (155 entries)

  1. AFP: Iran and Israel: From allies to arch foes. The Times of Israel. 12. Mai 2018, in: https://www.timesofisrael.com/iran-and-israel-from-allies-to-arch-foes/, Zugriff am 26.2.2022. Open Google Scholar
  2. Al Mayadeen Net: Great Prophet 17 exercise simulated targeting Israeli Dimona facility. Al-Mayadeen Media Network. 25. Dezember 2021, in: https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/great-prophet-17-exercise-simulated-targeting-israeli-dimona#, Zugriff am 30.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  3. Albright, David: Israel’s Military Plutonium Inventory. Institute for Science and International Security. 19. November 2015, in: https://isis-online.org/uploads/isis-reports/documents/Israel_Military_Plutonium_Stock_November_19_2015_Final.pdf, Zugriff am 4.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  4. Albright, David; Burkhard, Sarah: Highlights of Iran’s Perilous Pursuit of Nuclear Weapons. Institute for Science and International Security. 25. August 2021, in: https://isis-online.org/uploads/isis-reports/documents/Highlights_of_Irans_Perilous_Pursuit_of_Nuclear_Weapons_August_25%2C_2021.pdf, Zugriff am 4.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  5. Albright, David; Burkhard, Sarah; Faragasso, Spencer: A Comprehensive Survey of Iran’s Advanced Centrifuges. Institute for Science and International Security. 2. Dezember 2021, in: https://isis-online.org/uploads/isis-reports/documents/A_Comprehensive_Survey_of_Irans_Advanced_Centrifuges_2021.pdf, Zugriff am 26.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  6. Albright, David; Burkhard, Sarah; Faragasso, Spencer: Updated Highlights of Comprehensive Survey of Iran’s Advanced Centrifuges. Institute for Science and International Security. 22. September 2022, in: https://isis-online.org/uploads/isis-reports/documents/Updated_Highlights_of_Comprehensive_Survey_of_Iran’s_Advanced_Centrifuges_-_September_2022.pdf, Zugriff am 7.10.2022. Open Google Scholar
  7. Allison, Graham: Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis. Boston 1971. Open Google Scholar
  8. Amiri, Natalie: Zwischen den Welten. Von Macht und Ohnmacht im Iran. Berlin 2021. Open Google Scholar
  9. Asseburg, Muriel; Busse, Jan: Der Nahostkonflikt. Geschichte, Positionen, Perspektiven. München 2016. Open Google Scholar
  10. Associated Press in Tehran: Iran’s leader: Tehran will not expand talks with US beyond nuclear deal. The Guardian. 9. September 2015, in: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/sep/09/irans-leader-tehran-will-not-expand-talks-with-us-beyond-nuclear-deal, Zugriff am 30.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  11. Associated Press; Khoury, Jack: Iran Launches Ballistic Missiles at Israeli ‘Strategic Centers’ in Iraq, Warns of ‘Harsher Response’. Haaretz. 13. März 2022, in: https://www.haaretz.com/middle-east-news/iraq/rockets-hit-kurdish-capital-in-northern-iraq-1.10670680?utm_source=Push_Notification&utm_medium=web_push&utm_campaign=General#, Zugriff am 13.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  12. Baezner, Marie; Robin, Patrice: Stuxnet. CSS Cyber Defense Hotspot Analysis. Center for Security Studies, ETH Zürich. 18. Oktober 2017, in: https://www.research-collection.ethz.ch/handle/20.500.11850/200661, Zugriff am 29.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  13. Behravesh, Maysam: The Formative Years of Anglo-Iranian Relations (1907–1953): Colonial Scramble for Iran and Its Political Legacy. In: Digest of Middle East Studies. Vol. 21 (2012) No. 2, S. 386–400. Open Google Scholar
  14. Belfer Center: Deterring Terror. How Israel Confronts the Next Generation of Threats. English Translation of the Official Strategy of the Israel Defense Forces. Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs. August 2016, in: https://www.belfercenter.org/sites/default/files/legacy/files/IDF%20doctrine%20translation%20-%20web%20final2.pdf, Zugriff am 5.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  15. Beres, Louis René: Defending Israel against Iranian Nuclear Aggression: War, Genocide, and International Law. In: Israel Journal of Foreign Affairs. Vol. 9 (2015) No. 2, S. 179–188. Open Google Scholar
  16. Berger, Peter L.; Luckmann, Thomas: Die gesellschaftliche Konstruktion der Wirklichkeit. Eine Theorie der Wissenssoziologie. 27. Aufl., Frankfurt am Main 2018. Open Google Scholar
  17. Bleiker, Carla: A special case: the German-Israeli security cooperation. Deutsche Welle. 12. Mai 2015, in: https://www.dw.com/en/a-special-case-the-german-israeli-security-cooperation/a-18444585, Zugriff am 30.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  18. BPB: Geiselnahme in Teheran. Bundeszentrale für politische Bildung. 20. Januar 2016, in: https://www.bpb.de/kurz-knapp/hintergrund-aktuell/218964/geiselnahme-in-teheran/, Zugriff am 28.2.2022. Open Google Scholar
  19. Brewer, Eric: Iran’s Evolving Nuclear Program and Implications for U.S. Policy. Center for Strategic and International Studies. 15. Oktober 2021, in: https://www.csis.org/analysis/irans-evolving-nuclear-program-and-implications-us-policy, Zugriff am 4.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  20. Brown, Lee: Iran’s Mohsen Fakhrizadeh killed by 62-person hit squad, reports say. New York Post. 29. November 2020, in: https://nypost.com/2020/11/29/irans-mohsen-fakhrizadeh-killed-hit-squad-report-says/, Zugriff am 30.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  21. Burke, Jason: Riyadh will build nuclear weapons if Iran gets them, Saudi prince warns. The Guardian. 29. Juni 2011, in: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2011/jun/29/saudi-build-nuclear-weapons-iran, Zugriff am 15.9.2022. Open Google Scholar
  22. Byrne, Malcolm: Introduction. In: Gasiorowski, Mark J.; Byrne, Malcolm: Mohammad Mosaddeq and the 1953 Coup in Iran. New York 2004, S. XIII-XXI. Open Google Scholar
  23. CBS Mornings: Saudi crown prince: If Iran develops nuclear bomb, so will we. CBS News. 15. März 2018, in: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/saudi-crown-prince-mohammed-bin-salman-iran-nuclear-bomb-saudi-arabia/, Zugriff am 1.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  24. Copeland, Dale: Is Vladimir Putin a Rational Actor? Miller Center, University of Virginia. 10. März 2022, in: https://millercenter.org/vladimir-putin-rational-actor, Zugriff am 15.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  25. Cox, Stephen Russell: Britain and the origin of Israeli Special Operations: SOE and PALMACH during the Second World War. In: Dynamics of Asymmetric Conflict. Pathways toward terrorism and genocide. Vol. 8 (2015) No. 1, S. 60–78. Open Google Scholar
  26. Davenport, Kelsey; Masterson, Julia: The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) at a Glance. Arms Control Association. März 2022 (last reviewed), in: https://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/JCPOA-at-a-glance, Zugriff am 1.7.2022. Open Google Scholar
  27. Davis, James W.; McDermott, Rose: The Past, Present, and Future of Behavioral IR. In: International Organization. Vol. 75 (2021) No. 1, S. 147–177. Open Google Scholar
  28. Deiseroth, Dieter; Hahnfeld, Bernd: Kein Recht zum Präventivkrieg. In: Blätter für deutsche und internationale Politik. Jg. 57 (2012) Nr. 1, S. 101–104. Open Google Scholar
  29. De Mesquita, Bruce Bueno: The War Trap. New Haven 1981. Open Google Scholar
  30. Destatis: Statistisches Länderprofil Iran, Islamische Republik. Statistisches Bundesamt. 8. Juni 2022, in: https://www.destatis.de/DE/Themen/Laender-Regionen/Internationales/_inhalt.html#_bv4p0pugq, Zugriff am 16.9.2022. Open Google Scholar
  31. Destatis: Statistisches Länderprofil Israel. Statistisches Bundesamt. 8. Juni 2022, in: https://www.destatis.de/DE/Themen/Laender-Regionen/Internationales/_inhalt.html#_bv4p0pugq, Zugriff am 16.9.2022. Open Google Scholar
  32. Destatis: Statistisches Länderprofil Saudi-Arabien. Statistisches Bundesamt. 8. Juni 2022, in: https://www.destatis.de/DE/Themen/Laender-Regionen/Internationales/_inhalt.html#_bv4p0pugq, Zugriff am 16.9.2022. Open Google Scholar
  33. Deutscher Bundestag: Bundeskanzler Olaf Scholz: Wir erleben eine Zeitenwende. Deutscher Bundestag. 27. Februar 2022, in: https://www.bundestag.de/dokumente/textarchiv/2022/kw08-sondersitzung-882198, Zugriff am 15.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  34. DPA; RTR: Thyssen-Krupp erhält milliardenschweren U-Boot-Auftrag aus Israel. Handelsblatt. 20. Januar 2022, in: https://www.handelsblatt.com/unternehmen/industrie/ruestungsindustrie-thyssen-krupp-erhaelt-milliardenschweren-u-boot-auftrag-aus-israel/27991842.html?ticket=ST-4383086–4eLEkdEfgbhRvLD1VHLx-ap4, Zugriff am 30.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  35. Duden: Revisionismus. Duden Online. O.D., in: https://www.duden.de/rechtschreibung/Revisionismus, Zugriff am 10.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  36. Eisenhower, Dwight D.: Atoms for Peace Speech. International Atomic Energy Agency. 8. Dezember 1953, in: https://www.iaea.org/about/history/atoms-for-peace-speech, Zugriff am 28.2.2022. Open Google Scholar
  37. Ella, Sima: Israel Approves $1.5 Billion Budget For Possible Iran Strike. Jewish Business News. 19. Oktober 2021, in: https://jewishbusinessnews.com/2021/10/19/israel-approves-1-5-billion-budget-for-possible-iran-strike/, Zugriff am 11.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  38. Elleman, Michael; Fitzpatrick, Mark: Evaluating design intent in Iran’s ballistic-missile programme. In: Fitzpatrick, Mark; Elleman, Michael; Izewicz, Paulina: Uncertain Future: The JCPOA and Iran’s nuclear and missile programmes. London 2019, S. 89–130. Open Google Scholar
  39. Elleman, Michael: Iran’s Missiles: Evolution and Arsenal. United States Institute of Peace. The Iran Primer. 15. Januar 2021, in: https://iranprimer.usip.org/blog/2021/jan/15/biden-iran-missile-program, Zugriff am 26.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  40. Evental, Udi: Israel’s Counter-Iran Strategy: Significant Accomplishments, But A Negative Trend. Middle East Institute. 23. Juni 2021, in: https://mei.edu/publications/israels-counter-iran-strategy-significant-accomplishments-negative-trend, Zugriff am 26.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  41. Feldman, Shai: Israeli Nuclear Deterrence. A Strategy for the 1980s. New York 1982. Open Google Scholar
  42. Fels, Enrico: Shifting Power in Asia-Pacific? The Rise of China, Sino-US Competition and Regional Middle Power Allegiance. Cham 2017. Open Google Scholar
  43. Fitzpatrick, Mark: Introduction. In: Fitzpatrick, Mark; Elleman, Michael; Izewicz, Paulina: Uncertain future. The JCPOA and Iran’s nuclear and missile programmes. The International Institute for Strategic Studies. London 2019, S. 9–17. Open Google Scholar
  44. Freilich, Charles D.: Israeli National Security: A New Strategy for an Era of Change. New York 2018. Zugriff via Oxford Scholarship Online. Open Google Scholar
  45. Frühling, Stephan; O’Neil, Andrew: Nuclear Weapons and Power in the 21st Century. In: Fels, Enrico; Kremer, Jan-Frederik; Kronenberg, Katharina: Power in the 21st Century. International Security and International Political Economy in a Changing World. Cham 2012, S. 81–95. Open Google Scholar
  46. Fuhrig, Nico; Kälker, Kevin: Israel und das Szenario eines Präventivschlags gegen den Iran. Baden-Baden 2017. Open Google Scholar
  47. Fyler, Boaz: Dagan: Iran strike – only as last resort. Ynet. 6. Januar 2011, in: https://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4077239,00.html, Zugriff am 11.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  48. Gasiorowski, Mark J.: The 1953 Coup D’etat in Iran. In: International Journal of Middle East Studies. Vol. 19 (1987) No. 3, S. 261–286. Open Google Scholar
  49. Gasiorowski, Mark J.: The 1953 Coup d’État Against Mosaddeq. In: Gasiorowski, Mark J.; Byrne, Malcolm: Mohammad Mosaddeq and the 1953 Coup in Iran. New York 2004, S. 227–260. Open Google Scholar
  50. Gasiorowski, Mark J.: The CIA’s TPBEDAMN Operation and the 1953 Coup in Iran. In: Journal of Cold War Studies. Vol. 15 (2013) No. 4, S. 4–24. Open Google Scholar
  51. Gehlen, Martin: Irans Revolutionsgarden, ein Staat im Staat. Zeit Online. 11. Juni 2010, in: https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2010-06/iran-revolutionsgarden, Zugriff am 25.2.2022. Open Google Scholar
  52. Ghaderi, Farah: Iran and Postcolonial Studies: Its Development and Current Status. In: Interventions. Vol. 20 (2018) No. 4, S. 455–469. Open Google Scholar
  53. Giersch, Carsten: Risikoeinstellungen in internationalen Konflikten. Wiesbaden 2009. Open Google Scholar
  54. Goodman, H. A.: Why bombing Iran would be a strategic mistake for Israel and America. The Jerusalem Post. 20. Januar 2015, in: https://www.jpost.com/Opinion/Why-bombing-Iran-would-be-a-strategic-mistake-for-Israel-and-America-388386, Zugriff am 11.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  55. Gronke, Monika: Irans Geschichte: 1941–1979 – Vom Zweiten Weltkrieg bis zur Islamischen Revolution. Bundeszentrale für politische Bildung. 8. Januar 2020, in: https://www.bpb.de/themen/naher-mittlerer-osten/iran/40125/irans-geschichte-1941-1979-vom-zweiten-weltkrieg-bis-zur-islamischen-revolution/, Zugriff am 20.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  56. Gross, Judah Ari: With Iran in mind, Israel signs deal with US for heavy choppers, refueling planes. The Times of Israel. 31. Dezember 2021, in: https://www.timesofisrael.com/with-iran-in-mind-israel-signs-deal-with-us-for-heavy-choppers-refueling-planes/, Zugriff am 11.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  57. Gross, Judah Ari: Israel successfully tests Arrow 3 anti-ballistic missile system. The Times of Israel. 18. Januar 2022, in: https://www.timesofisrael.com/israel-carries-out-test-of-arrow-anti-balistic-missile-system/, Zugriff am 11.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  58. Gu, Xuewu: Theorien der Internationalen Beziehungen. 3. Aufl., Berlin & Boston 2018. Open Google Scholar
  59. Haaretz: Putin, Raisi Speak Amid Ukraine Invasion, Say Iran Deal Would ‘Help Maintain Stability’. Haaretz. 24. Februar 2022, in: https://www.haaretz.com/middle-east-news/iran/putin-raisi-say-in-phone-call-iran-deal-would-help-maintain-stabilty-1.10633983, Zugriff am 25.2.2022. Open Google Scholar
  60. Hafezi, Parisa: Iran to join Asian security body led by Russia, China. Reuters. 15. September 2022, in: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-signs-memorandum-joining-shanghai-cooperation-organisation-tass-2022-09-15/, Zugriff am 15.9.2022. Open Google Scholar
  61. Handelsblatt: Europäische Verhandler warnen vor Scheitern von Atomdeal mit dem Iran. Handelsblatt. 12. März 2022, in: https://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/international/ukraine-krieg-europaeische-verhandler-warnen-vor-scheitern-von-atomdeal-mit-dem-iran/28157508.html, Zugriff am 13.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  62. Harkov, Lahav: Bennett to ‘Post’: Israel will continue its strategy to stop Iran even if there’s a deal. The Jerusalem Post. 27. Januar 2022, in: https://www.jpost.com/arab-israeli-conflict/article-694773, Zugriff am 11.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  63. Henderson, Simon: Iranian Nuclear Breakout: What It Is and How to Calculate It. The Washington Institute for Near East Policy. 24. März 2021, in: https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/iranian-nuclear-breakout-what-it-and-how-calculate-it, Zugriff am 26.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  64. Hermann, Tamar; Anabi, Or: Does Iran pose an existential threat? Israeli Voice Index November 2021. The Israel Democracy Institute. 8. Dezember 2021, in: https://en.idi.org.il/articles/36760, Zugriff am 9.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  65. Horschig, Doreen: Israeli Public Opinion on the Use of Nuclear Weapons: Lessons From Terror Management Theory. In: Journal of Global Security Studies. Vol. 7 (2022) No. 2, Zugriff via Oxford Academic Journals Online. Open Google Scholar
  66. Horschig, Doreen: Israeli public opinion makes a US-Iran nuclear deal urgent. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. 14. Mai 2021, in: https://thebulletin.org/2021/05/israeli-public-opinion-makes-a-us-iran-nuclear-deal-urgent/, Zugriff am 8.7.2022. Open Google Scholar
  67. IDF: Security Threats. Israel Defense Forces. O.D., in: https://www.idf.il/en/minisites/security-threats/, Zugriff am 13.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  68. IISS: Open-Source Analysis of Iran’s Missile and UAV Capabilities and Proliferation. The International Institute for Strategic Studies. 20. April 2021, in: https://www.iiss.org/blogs/research-paper/2021/04/iran-missiles-uavs-proliferation, Zugriff am 26.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  69. IMA Media, YouTube Kanal: Attack on the Zionist regime’s weapons of mass destruction center during TheGreatProphet17 war games. IMA Media. 25. Dezember 2021, in: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VcZEJ40Gt9M, Zugriff am 30.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  70. Inbar, Efraim: Iran und Israel: Ist ein Krieg unvermeidlich? In: Sirius – Zeitschrift für Strategische Analysen. Vol. 4 (2020) No. 4, S. 451–460. Open Google Scholar
  71. IPS: A Symposium on a New Global Reality. Implications for Israel. Insights and Recommendations. Institute for Policy and Strategy, Reichman University. Juni 2022, in: https://www.runi.ac.il/media/gldoarj0/insights2022-e1.pdf, Zugriff am 6.6.2022. Open Google Scholar
  72. ISIS: Takeaways from 2021: Five Consequential Findings about Iran from a Year of Research and Analysis. Institute for Science and International Security. 7. Januar 2022, in: https://isis-online.org/isis-reports/detail/takeaways-from-2021-five-consequential-findings-about-iran, Zugriff am 26.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  73. Ismael, Tareq Y.; Ismael Jacqueline S.: Government and Politics of the Contemporary Middle East. London & New York 2011. Open Google Scholar
  74. Ismael, Tareq Y.; Ismael Jacqueline S.; Rezaei, Ali: The Islamic Republic of Iran. In: Ismael, Tareq Y.; Ismael Jacqueline S.: Government and Politics of the Contemporary Middle East. London & New York 2011, S. 117–184. Open Google Scholar
  75. Jellinek, Georg: Allgemeine Staatslehre. 3. Aufl., Berlin 1914. Open Google Scholar
  76. Jervis, Robert: The Meaning of the Nuclear Revolution. Statecraft and the Prospect of Armageddon. Ithaca & London 1989. Open Google Scholar
  77. Joffe, Josef: Tehran Won’t Disarm. In: Hoover Digest. (2020) No. 1, S. 111–117. Open Google Scholar
  78. Jones, Seth G.: War by Proxy. Iran’s Growing Footprint in the Middle East. Center for Strategic and International Studies. 11. März 2019, in: https://www.csis.org/war-by-proxy, Zugriff am 28.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  79. Kahneman, Daniel; Tversky, Amos: Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Making Under Risk. In: Econometrica. Vol. 47 (1979) No. 2, S. 263–291. Open Google Scholar
  80. Kahneman, Daniel; Tversky, Amos: The Psychology of Preferences. In: Scientific American. Vol. 246 (1982) No. 1, S. 160–173. Open Google Scholar
  81. Kaye, Dalia Dassa; Efron, Shira: Israel’s Evolving Iran Policy. The International Institute for Strategic Studies. 23. Juli 2020, in: https://www.iiss.org/blogs/survival-blog/2020/07/israels-evolving-iran-policy, Zugriff am 12.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  82. Khan, Syed Muhammad: Rashidun Caliphate. World History Encyclopedia. 10. Januar 2020, in: https://www.worldhistory.org/Rashidun_Caliphate/, Zugriff am 22.2.2022. Open Google Scholar
  83. Kranish, Shoshana: Iran to host ‘Hourglass Festival’ to count down to Israel’s destruction. The Jerusalem Post. 28. Februar 2018, in: https://www.jpost.com/Middle-East/Iran-to-host-Hourglass-Festival-to-count-down-to-Israels-destruction-543842, Zugriff am 30.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  84. Kristensen, Hans M.; Korda, Matt: Nuclear Notebook: Israeli nuclear weapons, 2022. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. 17. Januar 2022, in: https://thebulletin.org/premium/2022-01/nuclear-notebook-israeli-nuclear-weapons-2022/, Zugriff am 8.7.2022. Open Google Scholar
  85. Landau, Emily B.: A Nuclear Iran: Implications for Arms Control in the Nuclear Realm. In: Kam, Ephraim (Hg.): Israel and a Nuclear Iran: Implications for Arms Control, Deterrence, and Defense. Institute for National Security Studies. Tel Aviv 2008, S. 33–46. Open Google Scholar
  86. Lane, Ashley: Iran’s Islamist Proxies in the Middle East. Wilson Center. 20. Mai 2021, in: https://www.wilsoncenter.org/article/irans-islamist-proxies, Zugriff am 28.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  87. Langenegger, Tobias W.; Hipel, Keith W.: The Strategy of Escalation and Negotiation: The Iran Nuclear Dispute. In: Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering. Vol. 28 (2019) No. 4, S. 434–448. Open Google Scholar
  88. Levy, Jack S.: An Introduction to Prospect Theory. In: Political Psychology. Special Issue: Prospect Theory and Political Psychology. Vol. 13 (1992) No. 2, S. 171–186. Open Google Scholar
  89. Levy, Jack S.: Loss Aversion, Framing and Bargaining: The Implications of Prospect Theory for International Conflict. In: International Political Science Review. Vol. 17 (1996) No. 2, S. 179–195. Open Google Scholar
  90. Levy, Jack S.: Prospect Theory, Rational Choice, and International Relations. In: International Studies Quarterly. Vol. 41 (1997) No. 1, S. 87–112. Open Google Scholar
  91. Levy, Jack S.: Applications of Prospect Theory to Political Science. In: Synthese. Vol. 135 (2003) No. 2, S. 215–241. Open Google Scholar
  92. Levy, Jack S.: Preventive War and Democratic Politics. In: International Studies Quarterly. Vol. 52 (2008) No. 1, S. 1–24. Open Google Scholar
  93. Levy, Jack S.: Psychology and Foreign Policy Decision-Making. In: The Oxford Handbook of Political Psychology. Oxford 2013, S. 301–333. Open Google Scholar
  94. Limor, Yoav: Hezbollah’s precision missiles: A bigger threat than Iran’s nuclear program? Israel Hayom. 3. März 2021, in: https://www.israelhayom.com/2021/03/03/hezbollahs-precision-missiles-a-bigger-threat-than-irans-nuclear-program/, Zugriff am 8.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  95. Lüdicke, Lars: Die neue Staatenwelt nach 1918. In: 1918/19. Aus Politik und Zeitgeschichte. APuZ 50–51 (2008), S. 25–30. Open Google Scholar
  96. Maher, Nora: Balancing deterrence: Iran-Israel relations in a turbulent Middle East. Review of Economics and Political Science, Emerald Insight. 14. März 2020, in: https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/REPS-06-2019-0085/full/html#abstract, Zugriff am 3.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  97. McDermott, Rose: Prospect Theory in Political Science: Gains and Losses From the First Decade. In: Political Psychology. Vol. 25 (2004) No. 2, S. 289–312. Open Google Scholar
  98. Mearsheimer, John J.; Walt, Stephen M.: The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy. Harvard Kennedy School. Faculty Research Working Paper Series (No. RWP06–011). März 2006, in: https://www.hks.harvard.edu/publications/israel-lobby-and-us-foreign-policy, Zugriff am 20.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  99. Mearsheimer, John J.: Back to the Future: Instability in Europe after the Cold War. In: International Security. Vol. 15 (1990) No. 1, S. 5–56. Open Google Scholar
  100. MEMO: Israel Justice Minister supports total annexation of Area C. Middle East Monitor. 10. Oktober 2018, in: https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20181010-israel-justice-minister-supports-total-annexation-of-area-c/, Zugriff am 11.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  101. MEMO: Israel’s New Right: Annex ‘Area C’, give 80,000 Palestinians citizenship. Middle East Monitor. 1. März 2019, in: https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20190301-israels-new-right-annex-area-c-give-80000-palestinians-citizenship/, Zugriff am 11.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  102. Merkel, Angela: Rede vor der Knesset in Jerusalem. Die Bundesregierung. 18. März 2008, in: https://www.bundesregierung.de/breg-de/service/bulletin/rede-von-bundeskanzlerin-dr-angela-merkel-796170, Zugriff am 30.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  103. Milani, Abbas: How to Win by Losing? In: Hoover Digest. (2020) No. 1, S. 118–121. Open Google Scholar
  104. Mintz, Alex; DeRouen, Karl: Understanding Foreign Policy Decision Making. New York 2010. Open Google Scholar
  105. Mokhtari, Fariborz: Iran’s 1953 Coup Revisited: Internal Dynamics versus External Intrigue. In: Middle East Journal. Vol. 62 (2008) No. 3, S. 457–488. Open Google Scholar
  106. NCRI: National Council of Resistance of Iran – The Viable Democratic Alternative. National Council of Resistance of Iran. 24. September 2019, in: https://www.ncr-iran.org/en/about-ncri/ncri/alternative/, Zugriff am 28.2.2022. Open Google Scholar
  107. Nili, Shmuel: The Nuclear (and the) Holocaust: Israel, Iran, and the Shadows of Auschwitz. In: Journal of Strategic Security. Vol. 4 (2011) No. 1, S. 37–56. Open Google Scholar
  108. NTI: Iran Nuclear Overview. The Nuclear Threat Initiative. 25. Juni 2020, in: https://www.nti.org/analysis/articles/iran-nuclear/, Zugriff am 26.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  109. Ohnesorge, Hendrik W.; Gu, Xuewu (Hg.): Der Faktor Persönlichkeit in der internationalen Politik. Perspektiven aus Wissenschaft, Politik und Journalismus. Wiesbaden 2021. Open Google Scholar
  110. Ohnesorge, Hendrik W.; Gu, Xuewu (Hg.): Politische Persönlichkeiten und ihre weltpolitische Gestaltung. Analysen in Vergangenheit und Gegenwart. Wiesbaden 2017. Open Google Scholar
  111. Olson, Wyatt: Air Force drops new 5,000-pound bunker-buster bomb for first time. Stars and Stripes. 13. Oktober 2021, in: https://www.stripes.com/branches/air_force/2021–10–12/air-force-gbu-72–5k-penetrator-bomb-north-korea-3224328.html, Zugriff am 11.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  112. Pistor-Hatam, Anja: Iran. In: Ralf Elger (Hg.): Kleines Islam-Lexikon. Geschichte, Alltag, Kultur. 3. Aufl., München 2001, S. 135–137. Open Google Scholar
  113. Post, Jerrold M.: Psychobiography: “the Child is Father of the man”. In: The Oxford Handbook of Political Psychology. Oxford 2013, S. 459–488. Open Google Scholar
  114. Putin, Wladimir: On the Historical Unity of Russians and Ukrainians. President of Russia. 12. Juli 2021, in: http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/66181, Zugriff am 15.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  115. Ragozin, Leonid: Is Putin’s gamble on Ukraine rational? Aljazeera. 24. Februar 2022, in: https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2022/2/24/is-putins-gamble-on-ukraine-rational, Zugriff am 15.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  116. Reissner, Johannes: Irans Selbstverständnis als Regionalmacht: Machtstreben im Namen antikolonialer Modernität. Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik. 15. Oktober 2008, in: https://www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/irans-selbstverstaendnis-als-regionalmacht/, Zugriff am 23.2.2022. Open Google Scholar
  117. Robinson, Kali: What Is the Iran Nuclear Deal? Council on Foreign Relations. 18. August 2021, in: https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/what-iran-nuclear-deal, Zugriff am 27.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  118. Roth, Andrew: ‘It’s not rational’: Putin’s bizarre speech wrecks his once pragmatic image. The Guardian. 25. Februar 2022, in: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/feb/25/its-not-rational-putins-bizarre-speech-wrecks-his-once-pragmatic-image, Zugriff am 15.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  119. Rowberry, Ariana: Sixty Years of “Atoms for Peace” and Iran’s Nuclear Program. Brookings. 18. Dezember 2013, in: https://www.brookings.edu/blog/up-front/2013/12/18/sixty-years-of-atoms-for-peace-and-irans-nuclear-program/, Zugriff am 28.2.2022. Open Google Scholar
  120. Rubin, Uzi: Iran’s Missiles and Its Evolving “Rings of Fire”. Mideast Security and Policy Studies No. 169. The Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies. 9. Januar 2021, in: https://besacenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/169-MONOGRAPH-Rubin-Iranian-Missiles-web.pdf, Zugriff am 12.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  121. Rubin, Uzi; Perkins, Charles B.: Watch Webinar with Dr. Uzi Rubin on The Evolution of Iran’s Precision Guided Missile Threat. Jewish Institute for National Security of America. 6. Mai 2021, in: https://jinsa.org/watch-webinar-with-dr-uzi-rubin-on-the-evolution-of-irans-precision-guided-missile-threat/, Zugriff am 8.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  122. Rudolf, Peter: Die USA, Israel und die Legitimität eines Präventivangriffs gegen Iran: Strategische, völkerrechtliche und ethische Aspekte. Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik. Juni 2012, in: https://www.ssoar.info/ssoar/handle/document/36754, Zugriff am 7.7.2022 Open Google Scholar
  123. Sagan, Scott D.; Waltz, Kenneth N.: The Spread of Nuclear Weapons: A Debate. New York 1995. Open Google Scholar
  124. Sagan, Scott D.; Waltz, Kenneth N.: The Spread of Nuclear Weapons. An Enduring Debate. New York 2013. Open Google Scholar
  125. Samaan, Jean-Loup: The renaissance of Israel’s periphery doctrine. A comparative analysis. In: Israel in a turbulent region: security and foreign policy. London 2019, S. 273–289. Open Google Scholar
  126. Scholz, Olaf: „Immerwährende Verantwortung für die Sicherheit des Staates Israel“. Der Bundeskanzler. 2. März 2022, in: https://www.bundeskanzler.de/bk-de/aktuelles/kanzler-scholz-in-israel-2009034, Zugriff am 3.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  127. Simon, Herbert A.: Models of Man. Mathematical Essays on Rational Human Behavior in a Social Setting. New York 1957. Open Google Scholar
  128. Simons, Jake Wallis: Drones, bombs, spies – inside Israel’s cunning plan to stop Iran’s nukes. New York Post. 6. Dezember 2021, in: https://nypost.com/2021/12/06/drones-bombs-spies-inside-israels-cunning-plan-to-stop-irans-nukes/, Zugriff am 30.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  129. SIPRI: Military Expenditure Database. Stockholm International Peace Research Institute. 2021, in: https://sipri.org/databases/milex, Zugriff am 28.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  130. Snyder, Jack: The Ideology of the Offensive: Military Decision Making and the Disasters of 1914. Ithaca 2013. Open Google Scholar
  131. Spiegel Ausland: Iranischer Revolutionsführer Khamenei schimpft über den "Großen Satan" USA. Der Spiegel. 3. Juni 2016, in: https://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/iran-ajatollah-khamenei-schimpft-ueber-grossen-satan-usa-a-1095677.html, Zugriff am 23.2.2022. Open Google Scholar
  132. Steinberg, Guido: Schiiten und Sunniten – ein politisch-religiöser Konflikt der Gegenwart. Bundeszentrale für politische Bildung. 2. Oktober 2020, in: https://www.bpb.de/themen/asien/iran/303490/schiiten-und-sunniten-ein-politisch-religioeser-konflikt-der-gegenwart/#node-content-title-0, Zugriff am 22.2.2022. Open Google Scholar
  133. Tasnim News: Attack on Israeli Regime’s WMD Sites Simulated in Joint IRGC Drill. Tasnim News Agency. 26. Dezember 2021, in: https://www.tasnimnews.com/en/news/2021/12/26/2632528/attack-on-israeli-regime-s-wmd-sites-simulated-in-joint-irgc-drill-video, Zugriff am 30.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  134. Teheran Times: Just one wrong move! Teheran Times. 14. Dezember 2021, in: https://www.tehrantimes.com/news/468091/Just-one-wrong-move, Zugriff am 30.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  135. Thaler, Richard: Toward a Positive Theory of Consumer Choice. In: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization. Vol. 1 (1980) No. 1, S. 39–60. Open Google Scholar
  136. The Iran Primer: Iran and the NPT. United States Institute of Peace. 22. Januar 2021, in: https://iranprimer.usip.org/blog/2020/jan/22/iran-and-npt, Zugriff am 30.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  137. The Metropolitan Museum of Art: The Achaemenid Persian Empire (550–330 B.C.). The Met. Oktober 2004, in: https://www.metmuseum.org/toah/hd/acha/hd_acha.htm, Zugriff am 22.2.2022. Open Google Scholar
  138. TOI; AFP: Iran’s Nuclear Breakout Time Is Now ‘Really Short, Unacceptably Short’ – US Official. The Times of Israel. 18. Dezember 2021, in: https://www.timesofisrael.com/irans-nuclear-breakout-time-now-really-short-us-official/, Zugriff am 26.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  139. TOI: Former Israel-Iran oil company to continue operating in secret. The Times of Israel. 31. Dezember 2017, in: https://www.timesofisrael.com/former-israel-iran-oil-company-to-continue-operating-in-secret/, Zugriff am 26.2.2022. Open Google Scholar
  140. TOI: Full text of Netanyahu on Iran deal: ‘100,000 files right here prove they lied’. The Times of Israel. 30. April 2018, in: https://www.timesofisrael.com/full-text-of-netanyahu-on-iran-deal-100000-files-right-here-prove-they-lied/, Zugriff am 3.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  141. TOI: Jerusalem Post website hacked with Iran warning on anniversary of Soleimani killing. The Times of Israel. 3. Januar 2022, in: https://www.timesofisrael.com/israeli-news-sites-hacked-with-iran-warning-on-anniversary-of-soleimani-killing/, Zugriff am 31.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  142. U.S. Department of State: Joint Press Availability. U.S. Department of State. 13. Oktober 2021, in: https://www.state.gov/secretary-antony-j-blinken-and-israeli-alternate-prime-minister-and-foreign-minister-yair-lapid-and-united-arab-emirates-foreign-minister-sheikh-abdullah-bin-zayed-al-nahyan-at-a-joint-press-availab/, Zugriff am 30.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  143. UNGA: Resolution 181 (II). United Nations General Assembly. 29. November 1947, in: https://content.ecf.org.il/files/M00044_UNGeneralAssemblyResolution181-EnglishTextandMaps_0.pdf, Zugriff am 30.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  144. UNSCR: Resolution 2231. United Nations Security Council. 20. Juli 2015, in: http://unscr.com/en/resolutions/doc/2231, Zugriff am 1.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  145. Vis, Barbara; Kuijpers, Dieuwertje: Prospect theory and foreign policy decision- making: Underexposed issues, advancements, and ways forward. In: Contemporary Security Policy. Vol. 39 (2018) No. 4, S. 575–589. Open Google Scholar
  146. Waltz, Kenneth N.; Rapp-Hooper, Mira: The Reasons not to Worry. In: Sagan, Scott D.; Waltz, Kenneth N.: The Spread of Nuclear Weapons. An Enduring Debate. New York 2013, S. 180–200. Open Google Scholar
  147. Waltz, Kenneth N.: Theory of International Politics. Long Grove 2010. Open Google Scholar
  148. Waltz, Kenneth N.: Why Iran Should Get the Bomb: Nuclear Balancing Would Mean Stability. In: Foreign Affairs. Vol. 91 (2012) No. 4, S. 2–5. Open Google Scholar
  149. Wissenschaftliche Dienste des Deutschen Bundestages: Militärische Kooperation und Rüstungsexporte nach Israel (WD2–3000–162/18). Deutscher Bundestag. 8. November 2018, in: https://www.bundestag.de/resource/blob/586198/76963444345e3fb9c17ef753a112f382/wd-2–162–18-pdf-data.pdf, Zugriff am 3.3.2022. Open Google Scholar
  150. Wolffsohn, Michael; Grill, Tobias: Israel. Geschichte, Politik, Gesellschaft, Wirtschaft. 8. Aufl., Opladen, Berlin & Toronto 2016. Open Google Scholar
  151. Woolsey, R. James: Iran Probably Already Has the Bomb. Here’s What to Do about It. Yahoo News. 19. März 2021, in: https://news.yahoo.com/iran-probably-already-bomb-192403407.html, Zugriff am 26.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  152. Yossef, Amr: Military Doctrines in Israel and Iran: A Doctrinal Hybridity. In: The Middle East Journal. Vol. 75 (2021) No. 2, S. 243–263. Open Google Scholar
  153. Zahrani, Mostafa T.: The Coup That Changed the Middle East: Mossadeq v. The CIA in Retrospect. In: World Policy Journal. Vol. 19 (2002) No. 2, S. 93–99. Open Google Scholar
  154. Zatat, Narjas: Iranian protesters unveil countdown showing 8,411 days ‘to the destruction of Israel’. The Independent. 26. Juni 2017, in: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/iran-al-quds-day-protest-clock-president-hassan-rouhani-a7806056.html, Zugriff am 30.1.2022. Open Google Scholar
  155. Zeit Online: „Sicherheit Israels ist und bleibt deutsche Staatsräson“. Zeit Online. 10. Februar 2022, in: https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2022-02/annalena-baerbock-israel-antrittsbesuch-yad-vashem-holocaust, Zugriff am 19.2.2022. Open Google Scholar

Similar publications

from the topics "Comparative Political Research & Country Studies", "Peace Research & Conflict Research", "International Relations", "Politics General"
Cover of book: Die politische Rechte in Lateinamerika
Edited Book Full access
Nadja Ahmad, Hans-Jürgen Burchardt, Kristina Dietz, Hannes Warnecke-Berger, Jonas Wolff
Die politische Rechte in Lateinamerika
Cover of book: Weltbilder und Weltordnung
Educational Book No access
Gert Krell, Peter Schlotter, Alexandra Homolar, Frank A. Stengel
Weltbilder und Weltordnung
Cover of book: (Neu-)Ordnung
Edited Book No access
Uwe Wagschal, Marius Fröhle
(Neu-)Ordnung
Cover of book: Arenen des Diskurses
Edited Book No access
Thomas Schölderle, Laura Martena
Arenen des Diskurses
Cover of book: Türkiye und Österreich im 21. Jahrhundert
Edited Book No access
Mehmet Soytürk
Türkiye und Österreich im 21. Jahrhundert