Afghanistan and Its Central Asian Neighbors

Ivan Safranchuk

doi:10.5771/9781442280182

Summary

The general trend in Afghanistan is clear-cut: the overall security situation has consistently deteriorated since 2009, worsening dramatically since 2014. However, in the provinces of Afghanistan adjacent to Central Asia, the security situation has deteriorated even further than in Afghanistan as a whole. This report considers the range of options available to the Central Asian neighbors of Afghanistan (Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan) in responding to this growing threat, both unilaterally and in their bilateral engagement with actors in Afghanistan. Furthermore, it considers how decision making processes in Central Asia will be affected by future developments in Afghanistan by assessing options and likely outcomes under a set of security scenarios in Afghanistan itself.

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Bibliographic data

Copyright year: 2017
ISBN-Print: 978-1-4422-8017-5
ISBN-Online: 978-1-4422-8018-2
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield, Lanham
Language: English
Pages: 31
Product type: Book Titles

1. Contents No access
2. Acknowledgments No access
3. Executive Summary No access
1. The Border with Tajikistan (Northeastern Afghanistan) No access
2. The Border with Turkmenistan (Northwestern and Western Afghanistan) No access
3. The Border with Uzbekistan (Northern Afghanistan) No access
4. The “Backyard” Provinces No access
5. The Taliban’s Quest for Parallel Rule No access
1. Threat A: Smuggling by Militants No access
2. Threat B: Infiltration of Militants No access
3. Threat C: Direct Attack by the Taliban on Central Asian Borders No access
4. Threat D: Flow of Refugees into Central Asia No access
5. Threat E: Indirect Involvement in Conflict No access
6. Synthesis of Threats B and C: Fresh Blood to Underground Cells in Central Asiaand the Prospect of Hybrid War by Taliban No access
1. Relying on ANDSF No access
2. Sealing the Border with Afghanistan No access
3. Creating a Military Buffer Zone No access
4. Creating a Nonmilitary Buffer Zone No access
5. Making Deals with the Taliban No access
6. Synthesizing the Available Responses No access
7. The “Gray Zone” Discrepancy between Security Threats and the Ability to Respond No access
CHAPTER 4 No access Pages 29 - 30
About the Author No access Pages 31 - 31