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Iran's Nuclear Hedging Strategy
Shaping the Islamic Republic’s Proliferation Calculus
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2023
Summary
Tehran’s willingness to pause aspects of its nuclear program may offer opportunities to stroke regime concerns about the potential costs of moving forward.
Since halting its crash nuclear weapons program in 2003, the Islamic Republic has pursued a cautious hedging strategy that has enabled it to become an advanced nuclear threshold state, while also avoiding a military confrontation with the United States and Israel. Yet Iran’s willingness to pause aspects of its nuclear program in order to ease pressure—and in turn to pursue more urgent objectives—may help Washington constrain Tehran’s nuclear ambitions by amplifying its concerns about the potential risks and costs of proliferating.
In this Policy Focus, military analyst Michael Eisenstadt surveys the evolution of Iran’s nuclear hedging strategy and suggests ways for the United States, along with its allies and partners, to shape the regime’s proliferation calculus with the goal of preventing an Iranian breakout and a nuclearized Middle East.
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Bibliographic data
Edition
1/2023
Copyright Year
2023
ISBN-Print
978-1-5381-8134-8
ISBN-Online
978-1-5381-8135-5
Publisher
Rowman & Littlefield, Lanham
Language
English
Pages
C4
Product Type
Monograph
Table of contents
ChapterPages
Contents No access
Figures No access
Acknowledgments No access
Glossary No access
Executive Summary No access
Introduction No access Pages 1 - 3
Iran in Context: Nuclear Hedging, Reversal, and Rollback No access Pages 4 - 12
