Turkey and the European Union: Key Dynamics and Future Scenarios

Assoc. Prof. Beken Saatçioğlu; Dr. Funda Tekin

doi:10.5771/9783748900696

Summary

This volume studies the enduring complexity of EU–Turkey relations in all their thematic dimensions and with a view to offering future scenarios. It accomplishes three important aims. First, following a narratives analysis, the chapters analysing identity, politics, the economy, security, migration and energy identify the key dynamics that impact the relationship in these areas. Second, they evaluate how these drivers influence the three ideal-type future scenarios of convergence, cooperation and conflict, subsequently offering a relationship scenario for each thematic area. Third, the volume synthesises the chapters’ individual findings and argues that conflictual cooperation is the most likely scenario in future EU–Turkey relations. With contributions byİbrahim Semih Akçomak, Senem Aydın-Düzgit, Lorenzo Colantoni, Angeliki Dimitriadi, Atila Eralp, Erkan Erdil, Doruk Ergun, Hanna Lisa Hauge, Ayhan Kaya, Ebru Ece Özbey, Bahar Rumelili, Beken Saatçioğlu, Eduard Soler i Lecha, Melike Sökmen, Funda Tekin, Sinan Ülgen and Wolfgang Wessels.

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Bibliographic data

Edition: 1/2021
Copyright Year: 2021
ISBN-Print: 978-3-8487-5939-2
ISBN-Online: 978-3-7489-0069-6
Publisher: Nomos, Baden-Baden
Series: Turkey and European Union Studies
Volume: 3
Language: English
Pages: 218
Product Type: Edited Book

Titelei/Inhaltsverzeichnis No access Pages 1 - 8
1. Authors:
  1. 1. A Glimpse into the Future of EU-Turkey Relations No access
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  2. 2. Seeking the State of the Art in Research on EU-Turkey Relations: Contributions to the Literature No access
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  3. 3. Assessing the Future of EU-Turkey Relations No access
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  4. 4. Outline of the Volume No access
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  1. 1. Introduction No access
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  2. 2. A Narrative Approach to the Analysis of EU-Turkey Relations No access
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      1. 3.1.1 Membership No access
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      2. 3.1.2 Special Candidate No access
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      3. 3.1.3 Strategic Partner No access
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      4. 3.1.4 Distant Neighbour No access
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      1. 3.2.1 Westernisation No access
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      2. 3.2.2 Europeanisation No access
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      3. 3.2.3 Eurasianisation No access
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      4. 3.2.4 Turkey as the Heir No access
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      5. 3.2.5 Turkey as a Great Power No access
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  4. 4. Progressively Divergent and Increasingly Conflictual: Dynamics Between European and Turkish Narratives No access
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  5. 5. Conclusion: A Mix of Conflict and Mutual Dependence No access
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2. Authors:
  1. 1. Introduction No access
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    1. 2.1 Focal Issues and Scenarios No access
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    2. 2.2 Patterns and Shifts No access
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  3. 3. Contemporary Drivers No access
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  4. 4. Linking Historical and Contemporary Drivers with Levels of Analysis: Implications for Future Scenarios No access
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  5. 5. Conclusion No access
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3. Authors:
  1. 1. Introduction No access
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      1. 2.1.1 The AKP Government’s Political Calculations Shifting from the EU and the ‘Erdoğan-Factor’ No access
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      2. 2.1.2 Political Reforms (or the Lack Thereof) No access
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      3. 2.1.3 Fragility of the Rule of Law in Turkey No access
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      4. 2.1.4 The EU as Part of Turkish Foreign Policy Strategies No access
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      5. 2.1.5 Turkish Public Opinion On the EU No access
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      1. 2.2.1 Enlargement (Or Turkey) Fatigue No access
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      2. 2.2.2 The Undermined Principle of EU Conditionality No access
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      3. 2.2.3 Crises Damaging European Integration No access
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      4. 2.2.4 Differentiated Integration Diversifying EU-Turkey Relations No access
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      5. 2.2.5 Public Opinion as a Driver of Conflict No access
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      6. 2.2.6 The Politicisation of Turkey in European Debates No access
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    3. Authors:
      1. 2.3.1 A Defiant Russia No access
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      2. 2.3.2 The Southern Neighbourhood No access
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      3. 2.3.3 The Global Shift of Power and the Contested Liberal International Order No access
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  3. 3. Present State of EU-Turkey Relations: Backsliding and Beyond No access
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  4. 4. Conclusion No access
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4. Authors:
  1. Introduction No access
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    1. 1.1 1999: A New Hope No access
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    2. 1.2 1999-2004: United Against Shifting Global Dynamics No access
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    3. 1.3 2004-2009: Beginnings of a Divide No access
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    4. 1.4 2009-2014: A Widening Gap No access
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    5. 1.5 2014-2019: A Conflictual Partnership No access
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    1. 2.1 Potential Scenarios of Convergence No access
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    2. 2.2 Potential Scenarios of Conflict No access
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    3. 2.3 Potential Scenarios of Cooperation No access
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  4. 3. Conclusions: Managing a Conflictual Cooperation No access
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5. Authors:
  1. 1. Introduction No access
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    1. 2.1 Flows of Goods and Services No access
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    2. 2.2 Flows of Finance No access
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    3. 2.3 Flows of Knowledge No access
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    4. 2.4 The Political Economy Dimension No access
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  3. 3. Conclusion: What Future For EU-Turkey Relations? No access
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6. Authors:
  1. 1. Introduction No access
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  2. 2. Methodology No access
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    1. 3.1 The EU’s and Turkey’s Energy and Climate Strategies, Interests and Priorities No access
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    2. 3.2 The Brussels-Ankara-Moscow Energy Triangle No access
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    3. 3.3 Energy and Climate Security Priorities and Challenges in the Changing Global Energy Order No access
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    4. 3.4 Energy Interests of the EU and Turkey in the Caspian and the Middle East No access
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    5. 3.5 Gas developments in the Eastern Mediterranean: Trigger or Obstacle For EU-Turkey Cooperation? No access
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  4. 4. Conclusion: Future Energy and Climate Scenarios No access
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7. Authors:
  1. 1. Introduction No access
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  2. 2. Numbers in Transit No access
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  3. 3. Security No access
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    1. 4.1 Europeanisation of Turkey’s Asylum Policy No access
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    2. 4.2 EU-Turkey Readmission Agreement (EURA) No access
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    3. 4.3 Highly Skilled Migration No access
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  5. 5. The EU-Turkey Statement of March 2016 No access
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  6. 6. Populism and Neo-Ottomanism No access
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  7. 7. Conclusion No access
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  1. 1. Taking Stock of the Volume’s Findings No access
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    1. 2.1 The Evolving Context of EU-Turkey Relations No access
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    2. 2.2 Towards a Transactional Future? No access
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2. Acknowledgements No access Pages 207 - 208
Notes on Contributors No access Pages 209 - 212
Series Editors No access Pages 213 - 214
Register No access Pages 215 - 218