In this paper, we investigate multiple party attachments in Germany. Based on a survey that is representative for the German electorate and with the help of a new measurement instrument for multiple party identifications, we can show that multiple...
The Chancellor Model predicts that the 2017 Bundestag election will most likely confirm Angela Merkel for another term as head of the federal government. As of June this year, she leads her Social Democratic challenger Martin Schulz by a wide enough...
We present results of an ex-ante forecast of party-specific vote shares at the German Federal Election 2017. To that end, we combine data from published trial heat polls with structural information. The model takes care of the multi-party nature of...
As this forum demonstrates, the competition between election forecasting models along the US model becomes standard also in Germany. This raises the question about the scientific relevance of this undertaking. It is often argued that election...
The article introduces the teaching and learning concept for a hands-on seminar in the field of election campaigns. The core idea is to move student groups to develop a strategy for a party and creatively implement it by designing election campaign...