Entscheidung zur Denuklearisierung: Eine Prozessanalyse der nuklearen Abrüstung in Südafrika – Implikationen für die Non-Proliferationsforschung und -poli…

PD Dr. Antje Nötzold

doi:10.5771/9783748937388

Summary

This book focuses on the decision-making process of denuclearisation in South Africa and the internal as well as international influences in this respect. Using a newly developed methodological approach of eclectic case-focused process tracing, the author examines the factors of security, international institutions and norms, state preferences, national identity and technological capabilities in terms of their impact on the nuclear decision-making process. Thus, the book provides a comprehensive analysis of South Africa's nuclear programme in the context of national and international circumstances from the 1950s to nuclear disarmament. The findings are reviewed using the case of Libya, and their implications for non-proliferation research and policy are derived.

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Bibliographic data

Copyright Year: 2023
ISBN-Print: 978-3-8487-7603-0
ISBN-Online: 978-3-7489-3738-8
Publisher: Nomos, Baden-Baden
Series: Nichtverbreitung, Abrüstung & Rüstungskontrolle
Volume: 1
Language: German
Pages: 782
Product Type: Monograph

Titelei/Inhaltsverzeichnis No access Pages 1 - 12
Abkürzungsverzeichnis No access Pages 13 - 18
1. 1 Einführung No access Pages 19 - 22
2. 2 Problemstellung No access Pages 23 - 24
3. 3 Forschungsstand No access Pages 25 - 43
4. 4 Methodik No access Pages 44 - 47
5. 5 Aufbau No access Pages 48 - 52
1. 1. 1.1 Analytischer Eklektizismus No access Pages 53 - 58
  2. 1.2 Prozessanalyse No access Pages 59 - 65
2. 1. 2.1 Methodik der Fallstudienanalyse No access Pages 66 - 75
  2. 2.2 Fallauswahl No access Pages 76 - 78
  3. 1. 2.3.1 Nuklearer Status No access
    2. 1. Nuklearwaffenstaaten in der Nachbarschaft/Region No access
        Dauerhafte Rivalitäten No access
        Allianzen und Sicherheitsgarantien No access
        Konventionelle militärische Stärke No access
        Wahrnehmung der Sicherheitslage No access
        NPT und IAEA No access
        Mitgliedschaft in weiteren Abkommen und Organisationen des Non-Proliferationsregimes No access
      2. Einbindung in die Weltwirtschaft No access
        Stellung in der internationalen Gemeinschaft No access
        Einfluss staatlicher und gesellschaftlicher Gruppen auf das Nuklearprogramm No access
        Regimestabilität No access
        Präsenz historischer Erfahrungen und Narrative No access
        Bekanntheit und Entscheidungsstrukturen des Nuklearprogramms No access
        Regimetyp No access
      3. Uranvorkommen und -förderung No access
        Zugang zu waffenfähigem Material No access
        Sprengkörper und Trägersysteme No access
        Nukleare Kooperation No access
  4. 2.4 Vorgehensweise der Prozessanalyse No access Pages 153 - 160
1. 1. 1. 1.1.1 1948–1974 – Von den Anfängen des südafrikanischen Nuklearprogramms bis zum Ausbau kritischer nuklearer Fähigkeiten No access
    2. 1.1.2 1974–1989 – Geheimes Nuklearprogramm und Aufbau des Nukleararsenals No access
  2. 1. 1.2.1 1989–1994 – Abrüstung der Nuklearwaffen, Beitritt zum NPT und Offenlegung der früheren nuklearen Aktivitäten No access
    2. 1.2.2 1994–2021 – „Champion of nuclear Non-Proliferation efforts“? No access
2. 1. 1. 1. (1) 1950er/1960er Jahre No access
      2. (2) 1970er/1980er Jahre No access
      3. (3) 1990er/2000er Jahre No access
    2. 1. (1) 1950er/1960er Jahre No access
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    3. 1. (1) 1950er/1960er Jahre No access
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    4. 1. (1) 1950er/1960er Jahre No access
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    5. 1. (1) 1950er/1960er Jahre No access
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  2. 1. 1. (1) 1950er/1960er Jahre No access
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    2. 1. (1) 1950er/1960er Jahre No access
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  3. 1. 1. (1) 1950er/1960er Jahre No access
      2. (2) 1970er/1980er Jahre No access
      3. (3) 1990er/2000er Jahre No access
    2. 1. (1) 1950er/1960er Jahre No access
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    4. 1. (1) 1950er/1960er Jahre No access
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  4. 1. 1. (1) 1950er/1960er Jahre No access
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  5. 1. 1. (1) 1950er/1960er Jahre No access
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    2. 1. (1) 1950er/1960er Jahre No access
      2. (2) 1970er/1980er Jahre No access
      3. (3) 1990er/2000er Jahre No access
    3. 1. Sprengkörper No access
        Trägersysteme No access
      2. Sprengkörper No access
        Trägersysteme No access
      3. Sprengkörper No access
        Trägersysteme No access
    4. 1. (1) 1950er/1960er Jahre No access
      2. (2) 1970er/1980er Jahre No access
      3. (3) 1990er/2000er Jahre No access
  6. 1. Sicherheit No access
    2. Internationale Institutionen und Normen No access
    3. Staatliche Präferenzen No access
    4. Nationale Identität No access
    5. Nuklearwaffenrelevante Fähigkeiten und Kapazitäten No access
3. 1. 1. 3.1.1 Faktor Regime-/Machterhalt No access
    2. 3.1.2 Faktor Sicherheit No access
    3. 3.1.3 Faktor Wechsel politische Führung No access
    4. 3.1.4 Faktor ANC No access
    5. 3.1.5 Faktor internationale Isolation No access
    6. 3.1.6 Wechselwirkungen der Faktoren im kausalen Gesamtmechanismus No access
    7. 3.1.7 Entwicklung einer Kategorisierung der Ursachen und Erkenntnisgewinn No access
  2. 3.2 Einfluss externer Akteure No access Pages 608 - 616
1. 1. 1. 1.1.1 Entwicklungen des libyschen Nuklearprogramms No access
    2. 1.1.2 Forschungsstand zu Gründen und Zeitraum der nuklearen Entscheidung No access
    3. 1. Sicherheit No access
      2. Internationale Isolation No access
      3. Regime-/Machterhalt No access
      4. ANC und Wechsel politische Führung No access
      5. Nuklearwaffenrelevante Fähigkeiten und Kapazitäten No access
      6. Entscheidungsstrukturen des Nuklearprogramms & Einfluss staatlicher und gesellschaftlicher Gruppen No access
      7. Politischer Strategiewechsel No access
    4. 1.1.4 Ergebnisse und Aussagekraft No access
  2. 1.2 Mehrwert der methodischen Vorgehensweise und Ansatz für eine Theorie mittlerer Reichweite No access Pages 707 - 720
2. 2 Handlungsempfehlungen No access Pages 721 - 732
V. Literaturverzeichnis No access Pages 733 - 782

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