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Entscheidung zur Denuklearisierung

Eine Prozessanalyse der nuklearen Abrüstung in Südafrika – Implikationen für die Non-Proliferationsforschung und -politik
Authors:
Publisher:
 28.02.2023

Summary

This book focuses on the decision-making process of denuclearisation in South Africa and the internal as well as international influences in this respect. Using a newly developed methodological approach of eclectic case-focused process tracing, the author examines the factors of security, international institutions and norms, state preferences, national identity and technological capabilities in terms of their impact on the nuclear decision-making process. Thus, the book provides a comprehensive analysis of South Africa's nuclear programme in the context of national and international circumstances from the 1950s to nuclear disarmament. The findings are reviewed using the case of Libya, and their implications for non-proliferation research and policy are derived.

Keywords

Bibliographic data

Publication year
2023
Publication date
28.02.2023
ISBN-Print
978-3-8487-7603-0
ISBN-Online
978-3-7489-3738-8
Publisher
Nomos, Baden-Baden
Series
Nichtverbreitung, Abrüstung & Rüstungskontrolle
Volume
1
Language
German
Pages
782
Product type
Book Titles

Table of contents

ChapterPages
  1. Titelei/Inhaltsverzeichnis No access 1 - 12
  2. Abkürzungsverzeichnis No access 13 - 18
    1. 1 Einführung No access 19 - 22
    2. 2 Problemstellung No access 23 - 24
    3. 3 Forschungsstand No access 25 - 43
    4. 4 Methodik No access 44 - 47
    5. 5 Aufbau No access 48 - 52
      1. 1.1 Analytischer Eklektizismus No access 53 - 58
      2. 1.2 Prozessanalyse No access 59 - 65
      1. 2.1 Methodik der Fallstudienanalyse No access 66 - 75
      2. 2.2 Fallauswahl No access 76 - 78
        1. 2.3.1 Nuklearer Status No access
              1. Nuklearwaffenstaaten in der Nachbarschaft/Region No access
              2. Dauerhafte Rivalitäten No access
              3. Allianzen und Sicherheitsgarantien No access
              4. Konventionelle militärische Stärke No access
              5. Wahrnehmung der Sicherheitslage No access
              1. NPT und IAEA No access
              2. Mitgliedschaft in weiteren Abkommen und Organisationen des Non-Proliferationsregimes No access
              1. Einbindung in die Weltwirtschaft No access
              2. Stellung in der internationalen Gemeinschaft No access
              3. Einfluss staatlicher und gesellschaftlicher Gruppen auf das Nuklearprogramm No access
              4. Regimestabilität No access
              1. Präsenz historischer Erfahrungen und Narrative No access
              2. Bekanntheit und Entscheidungsstrukturen des Nuklearprogramms No access
              3. Regimetyp No access
              1. Uranvorkommen und -förderung No access
              2. Zugang zu waffenfähigem Material No access
              3. Sprengkörper und Trägersysteme No access
              4. Nukleare Kooperation No access
      4. 2.4 Vorgehensweise der Prozessanalyse No access 153 - 160
        1. 1.1.1 1948–1974 – Von den Anfängen des südafrikanischen Nuklearprogramms bis zum Ausbau kritischer nuklearer Fähigkeiten No access
        2. 1.1.2 1974–1989 – Geheimes Nuklearprogramm und Aufbau des Nukleararsenals No access
        1. 1.2.1 1989–1994 – Abrüstung der Nuklearwaffen, Beitritt zum NPT und Offenlegung der früheren nuklearen Aktivitäten No access
        2. 1.2.2 1994–2021 – „Champion of nuclear Non-Proliferation efforts“? No access
          1. (1) 1950er/1960er Jahre No access
          2. (2) 1970er/1980er Jahre No access
          3. (3) 1990er/2000er Jahre No access
          1. (1) 1950er/1960er Jahre No access
          2. (2) 1970er/1980er Jahre No access
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          3. (3) 1990er/2000er Jahre No access
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          3. (3) 1990er/2000er Jahre No access
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          3. (3) 1990er/2000er Jahre No access
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          3. (3) 1990er/2000er Jahre No access
          1. (1) 1950er/1960er Jahre No access
          2. (2) 1970er/1980er Jahre No access
          3. (3) 1990er/2000er Jahre No access
            1. Sprengkörper No access
            2. Trägersysteme No access
            1. Sprengkörper No access
            2. Trägersysteme No access
            1. Sprengkörper No access
            2. Trägersysteme No access
          1. (1) 1950er/1960er Jahre No access
          2. (2) 1970er/1980er Jahre No access
          3. (3) 1990er/2000er Jahre No access
        1. Sicherheit No access
        2. Internationale Institutionen und Normen No access
        3. Staatliche Präferenzen No access
        4. Nationale Identität No access
        5. Nuklearwaffenrelevante Fähigkeiten und Kapazitäten No access
        1. 3.1.1 Faktor Regime-/Machterhalt No access
        2. 3.1.2 Faktor Sicherheit No access
        3. 3.1.3 Faktor Wechsel politische Führung No access
        4. 3.1.4 Faktor ANC No access
        5. 3.1.5 Faktor internationale Isolation No access
        6. 3.1.6 Wechselwirkungen der Faktoren im kausalen Gesamtmechanismus No access
        7. 3.1.7 Entwicklung einer Kategorisierung der Ursachen und Erkenntnisgewinn No access
      2. 3.2 Einfluss externer Akteure No access 608 - 616
        1. 1.1.1 Entwicklungen des libyschen Nuklearprogramms No access
        2. 1.1.2 Forschungsstand zu Gründen und Zeitraum der nuklearen Entscheidung No access
          1. Sicherheit No access
          2. Internationale Isolation No access
          3. Regime-/Machterhalt No access
          4. ANC und Wechsel politische Führung No access
          5. Nuklearwaffenrelevante Fähigkeiten und Kapazitäten No access
          6. Entscheidungsstrukturen des Nuklearprogramms & Einfluss staatlicher und gesellschaftlicher Gruppen No access
          7. Politischer Strategiewechsel No access
        4. 1.1.4 Ergebnisse und Aussagekraft No access
      2. 1.2 Mehrwert der methodischen Vorgehensweise und Ansatz für eine Theorie mittlerer Reichweite No access 707 - 720
    2. 2 Handlungsempfehlungen No access 721 - 732
  7. V. Literaturverzeichnis No access 733 - 782

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