@book{2016:elsland:longterm_,
title = {Long-term Energy Demand in the German Residential Sector},
year = {2016},
note = {This thesis deals with the topic of how technological knowledge
declines over time and the resulting limitations of techno-economic
energy demand models in anticipating future demand for energy in the
long-term. Since this is a principle limitation of ex ante analyses,
this deficiency has been discussed for some time, but so far no
methodological solution has been developed. The study is the first to
develop a concept that draws on a broad methodological basis from
different scientific disciplines (energy modelling and innovation
economics) to address this limitation. Applying the concept developed
to a practical question – energy scenarios for the German household
sector until 2050 – shows that integrating the decline in
technological knowledge into answering it leads to interesting new
insights.},
edition = {1},
publisher = {Nomos},
address = {Baden-Baden},
series = {},
volume = {},
author = {Elsland, Rainer}
}